By DAVID CATANESE and ALEX ISENSTADT
Claire McCaskill got her wish after all.
Rep. Todd Akin — a six-term social conservative whom the vulnerable Democratic senator helped promote to GOP voters because she thought she had the best chance of beating him — won the Republican primary Tuesday night over two rivals.
With more four-fifths of precincts reporting, Akin was leading businessman John Brunner, 36 percent to 30 percent, and the Associated Press called the race. Former state Treasurer Sarah Steelman, who was backed by Sarah Palin, was at 29 percent.
In other key races on the ballot, Rep. Lacy Clay beat fellow Rep. Russ Carnahan in a clash of Democratic Missouri political dynasties. In Michigan, longtime Democratic Rep. John Conyers won reelection handily, while Rep. Gary Peters was easily outpacing Rep. Hansen Clarke in another member vs. member contest. And in a result that was widely expected, Rep. Fred Upton, the head of the powerful Energy and Commerce Committee, swatted away a tea party challenge.
But the headliner event was the Missouri GOP primary. McCaskill signaled she’d rather run against Akin when her campaign launched a heavily rotated spot in July that branded him the “true conservative” — a blatant appeal to devoted conservatives who decide GOP primary contests.
Running his first race, Brunner, who spent $8 million of his own money on his bid, campaigned on being a “citizen senator” who brought to the table real-world business experience and lacking political baggage. Steelman positioned herself as an outstate maverick who would be a thorn in the side of the establishment.
Akin was powered by his ties to the vote-rich region of St. Louis, his connection with deeply religious voters and the tone of his campaign.
In the final weeks of the campaign, Brunner and Steelman lobbed barbs at each other on the air, but Akin declined to join the fray and stayed positive.
Akin’s advertising campaign — mocked by some in the Beltway as hokey — resonated with Evangelical and conservative activists who dominate the primary electorate.
Even so, there’s widespread agreement on both sides of the aisle that Akin presented the weakest threat to McCaskill and his nomination could provide her a window of opportunity to save a seat the GOP needs to flip Senate control in November. Assuming President Barack Obama is reelected, Republicans must pick up four seats to attain the majority.
Akin’s 12-year voting record is more susceptible to attack and his deeply held conservative beliefs have prompted him to make statements that Democrats believe are outside the mainstream for most Missourians.
Nonetheless, McCaskill enters the final 90-days an underdog.
Most polls have shown her trailing all three of her rivals and she acknowledged to POLITICO last weekend her reelection number sits in the low-to-mid 40s.
A campaign against Akin would undoubtedly center on his support of earmarks, the controversial spending provisions that McCaskill and many Republicans have sworn off. It would also seek to highlight him as a tea party candidate with ties to the most extreme realms of the Republican Party.
“Just a reminder folks, Todd Akin compared student loans to stage III cancer,” tweeted Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee spokesman Matt Canter shortly after the Associated Press called the race for Akin.
In the only other Senate GOP primary Tuesday night, former Michigan Rep. Pete Hoekstra quashed home school advocate Clark Durant by double-digits.